Out of all of the drivers currently in the top 12, I believe Greg Biffle is in the most danger of falling out. Don’t get me wrong, I think that Biffle is certainly talented enough to make the Chase. But, the problem is Biffle’s team; it’s been inconsistent at best.
Before Indianapolis, Biffle was seventh in points. But, before finishing fourth at the Lifelock.com 400 at Chicagoland Speedway, he was 11th in points, just two spots from being out.
This season, Biffle has eight top 10 finishes. But, he also has three finishes of 39th or worse, mainly the result of mistakes on pit road, mechanical issues, and accidents. He’s finished 15th or worse nine times this season, which really isn’t going to get it done going down the stretch.
In order to be guaranteed a spot in the Chase, you need to put together a string of top 10s, something Biffle is capable of if his team performs.
But, I don’t think his team has worked out its issues. Biffle’s car can run near the front one week and then not crack the top 20 the next week. That inconsistency puts him in the most danger of falling out.
In the seven races leading up to the Chase last year, Biffle averaged a 19th place finish. That statistic coupled with his inconsistent perfomance this season puts him in the most danger of falling out because he’s most likely to have these sorts of problems heading towards Richmond International Raceway.